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Permanent productivity shocks, migration and the labour wedge: business cycles in South Africa

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  • Tomoya Suzuki

Abstract

The findings of this study are as follows. First, permanent productivity shocks play a dominant role in South African business cycles. Second, the migration outflow has a negative effect on permanent productivity shocks. Third, a labour wedge that represents labour market inefficiency is significant in South Africa. Fourth, the labour wedge has a positive effect on the migration outflow. These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that labour market inefficiency in South Africa pushes workers out of the country and permanently influences the country’s labour effectiveness, thereby driving South African business cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomoya Suzuki, 2018. "Permanent productivity shocks, migration and the labour wedge: business cycles in South Africa," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 290-303, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:macfem:v:11:y:2018:i:3:p:290-303
    DOI: 10.1080/17520843.2018.1451352
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    Cited by:

    1. Pham, Binh Thai & Sala, Hector & Silva, José I., 2020. "Growth and real business cycles in Vietnam and the Asean-5. Does the trend shock matter?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(1).
    2. Theo Janse van Rensburg & Kgotso Morema, 2023. "Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes 2301 Reflections on loadshedding and potential GDP," Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes 11029, South African Reserve Bank.

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