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COVID-19 risk governance: drivers, responses and lessons to be learned

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  • Aengus Collins
  • Marie-Valentine Florin
  • Ortwin Renn

Abstract

The COVID-19 outbreak was neither unpredictable nor unforeseen, yet it blind-sided policymakers when it emerged, leading to unprecedented global restrictions on human activity and almost certainly triggering the first global economic contraction since WWII. This paper considers the key factors in the eruption of the crisis, as well as the lessons that should be learned from it. The paper begins with an outline of COVID-19’s spread, highlighting six key drivers that have determined its severity: the exponential pace of transmission, global interconnectedness, health-sector capacity, wider state capacity, the economic impact of suppression measures, and fragilities caused by the 2008 financial crisis. The paper then proceeds by considering the steps that have been taken in response to five key challenges, corresponding to elements of the IRGC risk governance framework: technical assessment, risk perception, evaluation, management and communication. While acknowledging that only tentative conclusions can be drawn at this early stage, the paper ends with a series of ten recommendations designed to increase preparedness for future crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Aengus Collins & Marie-Valentine Florin & Ortwin Renn, 2020. "COVID-19 risk governance: drivers, responses and lessons to be learned," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(7-8), pages 1073-1082, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:jriskr:v:23:y:2020:i:7-8:p:1073-1082
    DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2020.1760332
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    Cited by:

    1. Iskender Peker & Ilker Murat AR & Ismail Erol & Cory Searcy, 2023. "Leveraging blockchain in response to a pandemic through disaster risk management: an IF-MCDM framework," Operations Management Research, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 642-667, June.
    2. Alexandru Bănică & Ionel Muntele, 2023. "Local and regional factors of spatial differentiation of the excess mortality related to the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-21, December.
    3. Vitor Amado de Oliveira Bobel & Tiago F. A. C. Sigahi & Izabela Simon Rampasso & Gustavo Hermínio Salati Marcondes de Moraes & Lucas Veiga Ávila & Walter Leal Filho & Rosley Anholon, 2022. "Analysis of the Level of Adoption of Business Continuity Practices by Brazilian Industries: An Exploratory Study Using Fuzzy TOPSIS," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(21), pages 1-17, October.
    4. Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili, 2020. "Living in a Multi-Risk Chaotic Condition: Pandemic, Natural Hazards and Complex Emergencies," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-16, August.
    5. Margarida Rodrigues & Mário Franco & Nuno Sousa & Rui Silva, 2021. "Reviewing COVID-19 Literature on Business Management: What It Portends for Future Research?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-21, May.
    6. Andrea Laurent-Simpson, 2023. "COVID-19 and Masking Disparities: Qualitative Analysis of Trust on the CDC’s Facebook Page," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(12), pages 1-18, June.
    7. Yifei Li & Yuhang Bai, 2023. "Research on the Impact of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on Manufacturing: Evidence from China, the United States, and the European Union," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-18, July.
    8. Ortwin Renn, 2020. "The Call for Sustainable and Resilient Policies in the COVID-19 Crisis: How Can They Be Interpreted and Implemented?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-5, August.
    9. Qiying Ding & Shoufu Lin & Shanyong Wang, 2022. "Determinants and Willingness to Pay for Purchasing Mask against COVID-19: A Protection Motivation Theory Perspective," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(7), pages 1-15, April.
    10. Jun Zhang & Xiaodie Yuan, 2021. "COVID-19 Risk Assessment: Contributing to Maintaining Urban Public Health Security and Achieving Sustainable Urban Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-23, April.
    11. Goldin, J. & Nhamo, L. & Ncube, B. & Zvimba, J. N. & Petja, B. & Mpandeli, S. & Nomquphu, W. & Hlophe-Ginindza, S. & Greeff-Laubscher, M. R. & Molose, V. & Lottering, S. & Liphadzi, S. & Naidoo, D. & , 2022. "Resilience and sustainability of the water sector during the COVID-19 pandemic," Papers published in Journals (Open Access), International Water Management Institute, pages 1-14(3):148.
    12. Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili & Siamak Sattar & Katherine Johnson & Christopher Clavin & Juan Fung & Luis Ceferino, 2022. "A Perspective towards Multi-Hazard Resilient Systems: Natural Hazards and Pandemics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-29, April.
    13. Huijie Li & Jie Li, 2021. "Risk Governance and Sustainability: A Scientometric Analysis and Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-18, October.

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