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Displaying expected values in risk elicitation tasks: the effect of information in experimental risk research

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  • Daniel Hermann
  • Oliver Mußhoff

Abstract

We investigate the influence of providing expected lottery results to experiment participants in two common risk attitude elicitation tasks. In a between-subject design, either the Holt and Laury task or the Eckel and Grossman task is carried out by a sample of 208 students. We find no significant effect of shown expected values on the risk attitude measured by the tasks. This result even holds true if we divide the experiment participants into specific sub-groups, i.e. female and male, or lower numeracy and higher numeracy participants. Furthermore, comprehension and processing time are not significantly influenced by presented expected values. Therefore, we conclude that providing information on expected values does not influence decision-making in tasks involving risk. This result indicates the robustness of elicited risk attitudes to variation in common experimental methods, and demonstrates that more information could be provided without creating bias in the results.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Hermann & Oliver Mußhoff, 2019. "Displaying expected values in risk elicitation tasks: the effect of information in experimental risk research," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 232-242, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:jriskr:v:22:y:2019:i:2:p:232-242
    DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2017.1378246
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