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Application of Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) and delineation of natural risk zones in Greater Lisbon, Portugal

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  • Clémence Guillard-Gonçalves
  • Susan L. Cutter
  • Christopher T. Emrich
  • José Luís Zêzere

Abstract

Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) was applied to Greater Lisbon (Portugal). Based on the concepts used for the SoVI assessments in the US, 46 variables representing social vulnerability of the 149 civil parishes of Greater Lisbon were chosen. Thirty-eight variables were selected after application of correlation tests. They were standardized, and a Principal Component Analysis and a Varimax rotation were applied to them. Seven factors were extracted using the Kaiser criterion, which explain 79.5% of the variance, and the SoVI scores were then mapped using a standard deviation classification. Twelve of the 149 civil parishes of Greater Lisbon have a very high social vulnerability and 24 of them have a high social vulnerability. The map of SoVI was then integrated with susceptibility maps of earthquakes, floods, flash floods, landslides, tsunami, and coastal erosion, thus delineating risk zones. Twenty-two civil parishes of Greater Lisbon have a very high risk; among them, 17 belong to Lisbon Municipality, four belong to Loures Municipality, and one belongs to Vila Franca de Xira Municipality. Finally, exposed population was considered and combined with risk zones map in order to assess the number of people being potentially exposed to risk and their location.

Suggested Citation

  • Clémence Guillard-Gonçalves & Susan L. Cutter & Christopher T. Emrich & José Luís Zêzere, 2015. "Application of Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) and delineation of natural risk zones in Greater Lisbon, Portugal," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(5), pages 651-674, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jriskr:v:18:y:2014:i:5:p:651-674
    DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2014.910689
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    1. Yi Ge & Guangfei Yang & Yi Chen & Wen Dou, 2019. "Examining Social Vulnerability and Inequality: A Joint Analysis through a Connectivity Lens in the Urban Agglomerations of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-19, February.
    2. Mohd Idris Nor Diana & Nurfashareena Muhamad & Mohd Raihan Taha & Ashraf Osman & Md. Mahmudul Alam, 2021. "Social Vulnerability Assessment for Landslide Hazards in Malaysia: A Systematic Review Study," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-19, March.
    3. Eduardo Medeiros & Bernardo Valente & Ricardo Pinto & Miguel Sales Dias, 2023. "Using the Impact-WEB_GIS Platform to Assess the Impacts of Environmental Sustainability Public Policies in the Lisbon Metropolitan Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-16, December.
    4. Seth E. Spielman & Joseph Tuccillo & David C. Folch & Amy Schweikert & Rebecca Davies & Nathan Wood & Eric Tate, 2020. "Evaluating social vulnerability indicators: criteria and their application to the Social Vulnerability Index," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(1), pages 417-436, January.
    5. Joana Farinha & Lúcio Cunha & Luca Antonio Dimuccio, 2022. "Exploratory Spatial Analysis of Social Vulnerability and Forest Fire Risk in the Pinhal Interior Sul (Central Portugal)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-15, March.
    6. Gargiulo, Carmela & Battarra, Rosaria & Tremiterra, Maria Rosa, 2020. "Coastal areas and climate change: A decision support tool for implementing adaptation measures," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    7. Paulo Rodolpho Pereira Hader & Fábio Augusto Gomes Vieira Reis & Anna Silvia Palcheco Peixoto, 2022. "Landslide risk assessment considering socionatural factors: methodology and application to Cubatão municipality, São Paulo, Brazil," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(2), pages 1273-1304, January.
    8. Samuele Segoni & Francesco Caleca, 2021. "Definition of Environmental Indicators for a Fast Estimation of Landslide Risk at National Scale," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-14, June.
    9. Rita Jacinto & Fernando Sebastião & Eusébio Reis & João Ferrão, 2023. "SoResilere—A Social Resilience Index Applied to Portuguese Flood Disaster-Affected Municipalities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-43, February.
    10. Eleonora Giovene di Girasole & Daniele Cannatella, 2017. "Social Vulnerability to Natural Hazards in Urban Systems. An Application in Santo Domingo (Dominican Republic)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-17, November.
    11. André Alves & Filipe Marcelino & Eduardo Gomes & Jorge Rocha & Mário Caetano, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Land-Use Dynamics in Continental Portugal 1995–2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-29, November.
    12. Yi Ge & Wen Dou & Xiaotao Wang & Yi Chen & Ziyuan Zhang, 2021. "Identifying urban–rural differences in social vulnerability to natural hazards: a case study of China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(3), pages 2629-2651, September.
    13. Yi Ge & Wen Dou & Jianping Dai, 2017. "A New Approach to Identify Social Vulnerability to Climate Change in the Yangtze River Delta," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-19, December.
    14. José Francisco León-Cruz & Rocío Castillo-Aja, 2022. "A GIS-based approach for tornado risk assessment in Mexico," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(2), pages 1563-1583, November.
    15. Md Golam Azam & Md Mujibor Rahman, 2022. "Assessing spatial vulnerability of Bangladesh to climate change and extremes: a geographic information system approach," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(6), pages 1-35, August.
    16. Ibolya Török, 2018. "Qualitative Assessment of Social Vulnerability to Flood Hazards in Romania," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-20, October.

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