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Developing alternative land-use scenarios to facilitate natural resource management across jurisdictional boundaries

Author

Listed:
  • E. Jamie Trammell
  • J. Scott Thomas
  • Dave Mouat
  • Quinn Korbulic
  • Scott Bassett

Abstract

Scenario planning is an effective approach for examining possible futures by exploring the implications and consequences of different policy responses to landscape stressors. We present here a case study that explores plausible futures of urban growth in Southern Nevada, USA that illustrates how scenario analysis can be used to inform region-wide resource management by spatially modeling drivers of change, resource impacts, and potential policy responses. Using a suite of energy, water and biodiversity impact models, we assess the outcomes of the various futures on priority resources, resulting in a clear basis of comparison between alternative policies and their potential outcomes. This case study demonstrates the utility of scenario modeling for natural resource management by exploring crucial policy decisions that might be made in the near-term that could have lasting and sometimes conflicting influences on regional resources over the long term.

Suggested Citation

  • E. Jamie Trammell & J. Scott Thomas & Dave Mouat & Quinn Korbulic & Scott Bassett, 2018. "Developing alternative land-use scenarios to facilitate natural resource management across jurisdictional boundaries," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 61(1), pages 64-85, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jenpmg:v:61:y:2018:i:1:p:64-85
    DOI: 10.1080/09640568.2017.1289901
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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Cronan & E. Jamie Trammell & Andrew (Anaru) Kliskey, 2022. "Images to Evoke Decision-Making: Building Compelling Representations for Stakeholder-Driven Futures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-13, March.
    2. Daniel Cronan & E. Jamie Trammell & Andrew (Anaru) Kliskey & Paula Williams & Lilian Alessa, 2022. "Socio-Ecological Futures: Embedded Solutions for Stakeholder-Driven Alternative Futures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
    3. Jamie Trammell & Meagan Krupa & Paula Williams & Andrew Kliskey, 2021. "Using Comprehensive Scenarios to Identify Social–Ecological Threats to Salmon in the Kenai River Watershed, Alaska," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-15, May.

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