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Estimation of the doubling time and reproduction number for COVID-19

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  • Shamim Ahmed
  • Mohammad Shemanto
  • Hasin Azhari
  • Golam Zakaria

Abstract

In this paper, we have calculated the basic reproduction number (R0) and doubling time (Td) for the novel Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The calculation is performed for March 2020 from the data provided by worldometer. We have investigated the data for Germany and Bangladesh. The calculation of R0 is performed based on SIR model. The parameter Td is estimated based on the new cases of each day. Since Td and R0 in use to judge the lockdowns and other measures to prevent spreading of the virus, we have provided simple approximation of both parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Shamim Ahmed & Mohammad Shemanto & Hasin Azhari & Golam Zakaria, 2022. "Estimation of the doubling time and reproduction number for COVID-19," Computer Methods in Biomechanics and Biomedical Engineering, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(6), pages 668-674, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:gcmbxx:v:25:y:2022:i:6:p:668-674
    DOI: 10.1080/10255842.2021.1972292
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