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When do cities propose taxes? Evidence from California municipalities, 1996–2010

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  • Daniel R. Alvord
  • Jennifer M. Nations

Abstract

What prompts city leaders to propose new taxes? While prior research emphasises voter preferences, this paper examines how fiscal constraints and city leaders’ own assessments shape municipal tax proposals. Using a unique dataset of tax proposals from California cities between 1996 and 2010, we find that declines in discretionary revenues are correlated with tax proposal. However, rather than expanding discretionary capacity, city leaders often respond by proposing earmarked taxes, which may be more politically palatable but fiscally constraining. We also analyse survey data from municipal officials for select years and find that city leaders’ negative evaluative assessments of fiscal outlook predict tax proposals in subsequent years. This research contributes to theories of fiscal democracy by highlighting tradeoffs in local revenue policymaking.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel R. Alvord & Jennifer M. Nations, 2026. "When do cities propose taxes? Evidence from California municipalities, 1996–2010," Local Government Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(4), pages 688-710, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:flgsxx:v:52:y:2026:i:4:p:688-710
    DOI: 10.1080/03003930.2025.2539956
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