IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/flgsxx/v43y2017i2p194-217.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysing credit risk in large local governments: an empirical study in Spain

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Lara-Rubio
  • Salvador Rayo-Cantón
  • Andrés Navarro-Galera
  • Dionisio Buendia-Carrillo

Abstract

In governments throughout the world, bank lending excesses, solvency issues and worsening credit ratings have all contributed to raising risk premiums and impeding access to credit, thus provoking a major financial problem in the public sector. Accordingly, tax authorities and regulators need to analyse the causes of public sector bank debt, doing so through the joint study of idiosyncratic and systematic variables, an area that has been neglected in previous research. This paper examines idiosyncratic and systematic factors that may influence local government credit risk through an empirical study of the performance of 148 large Spanish municipalities during 2006–2011. We identify individual factors relevant to the probability of local government default (such as dependent population, per capita income and debt composition) and also determinants associated with macroeconomic developments, such as gross domestic product and the risk premium.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Lara-Rubio & Salvador Rayo-Cantón & Andrés Navarro-Galera & Dionisio Buendia-Carrillo, 2017. "Analysing credit risk in large local governments: an empirical study in Spain," Local Government Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(2), pages 194-217, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:flgsxx:v:43:y:2017:i:2:p:194-217
    DOI: 10.1080/03003930.2016.1261700
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03003930.2016.1261700
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/03003930.2016.1261700?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dionisio Buendía-Carrillo & Juan Lara-Rubio & Andrés Navarro-Galera & María Elena Gómez-Miranda, 2020. "The impact of population size on the risk of local government default," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 27(5), pages 1264-1286, October.
    2. Vicente Pina & Patricia Bachiller & Lara Ripoll, 2020. "Testing the Reliability of Financial Sustainability. The Case of Spanish Local Governments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-22, August.
    3. Laszlo Vasa & Szilard Hegedus & Csaba Lentner, 2021. "Debt Dynamics Among European Municipalities and Their Organizations: Comparative Analysis with Focus on Hungary," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 622-645.
    4. Krzysztof Kluza, 2017. "Risk assessment of the local government sector based on the ratio analysis and the DEA method. Evidence from Poland," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 7(3), pages 329-351, December.
    5. Serena Santis, 2020. "The Demographic and Economic Determinants of Financial Sustainability: An Analysis of Italian Local Governments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-16, September.
    6. Noelia Araújo-Vila & Jose Antonio Fraiz-Brea & Arthur Filipe Araújo, 2020. "Spanish Economic-Financial Crisis: Social and Academic Interest," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 16(2), pages 135-149, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:flgsxx:v:43:y:2017:i:2:p:194-217. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/flgs .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.