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Impact of exchange rate regime reform on asset returns in China

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  • Xiuping Hua
  • Laixiang Sun
  • Tianyi Wang

Abstract

Employing monthly data over the period 1999-2010, this paper examines the impact of China's exchange rate regime reform in July 2005 on three major asset markets: house, land, and stocks. We test whether the reform, which switches from a fixed exchange rate regime to a managed floating one, has brought forward structural changes to asset return dynamics. The results suggest that the exchange rate regime switch exerted the most significant impact on house and land returns at the national level, in terms of both returns and their volatilities. In contrast, its impact on China's stock market was moderate, with no structural change being detected in its returns and only weak structural change being found in the dynamics of its volatility. We also find that in comparison with other popular explanatory variables, broad money supply and inflation have the largest explanatory power on housing and land returns in China after the policy reform.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiuping Hua & Laixiang Sun & Tianyi Wang, 2015. "Impact of exchange rate regime reform on asset returns in China," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 147-171, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:21:y:2015:i:2:p:147-171
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2013.838183
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    Cited by:

    1. Vinodh Madhavan & Partha Ray, 2019. "Price and Volatility Linkages Between Indian Stocks and Their European GDRs," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 18(2_suppl), pages 213-237, August.
    2. Li, Xin & Su, Chi-Wei & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Ma, Ji, 2018. "Do short-term international capital movements play a role in exchange rate and stock price transmission mechanism in China?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 15-25.
    3. Julio Pindado & Ignacio Requejo & Juan C. Rivera, 2020. "Does money supply shape corporate capital structure? International evidence from a panel data analysis," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(6), pages 554-584, April.

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