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China's impact on South African trade and inflation

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  • Logan Rangasamy
  • Jan Abraham Swanepoel

Abstract

There has been much controversy about the impact of Chinese growth on the rest of the world. It is generally accepted that China has a dampening effect on global inflation through the supply of cheap products. On the other hand, imports from China could displace domestic production and hence have adverse effects on economic growth and employment. Thus, the question of whether a country benefits from trading with China is a country-specific issue. The results in this paper indicate that limited short-term costs have resulted from the strengthening of trade relations between South Africa and China. As far as inflation is concerned, the paper does not find convincing empirical evidence at the aggregate level for inflation in China leading to domestic price changes. At the disaggregate level, however, there appear to be stronger sector-specific linkages between prices in China and South Africa.

Suggested Citation

  • Logan Rangasamy & Jan Abraham Swanepoel, 2011. "China's impact on South African trade and inflation," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 141-156.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:deveza:v:28:y:2011:i:1:p:141-156
    DOI: 10.1080/0376835X.2011.545175
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    Keywords

    China; South Africa; trade; inflation; prices;

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