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Modelling international conflict under conditions of state level economic and political uncertainty

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  • Anthony Lyons

Abstract

Formal models of international conflict have tended to concentrate on change across the security dimension, assuming that the state level economic and political dimensions are constant. However, the conclusion of the Cold War suggests that over the long run these dimensions are not constant; indeed, the development of economic power, state level limits on defence expenditures, structural impediments to economic change, and several other 'constants' clearly do have an endogenous role in international conflict. This paper suggests one strategy for their inclusion as a causal factor in conflict modelling.

Suggested Citation

  • Anthony Lyons, 2001. "Modelling international conflict under conditions of state level economic and political uncertainty," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(6), pages 497-535.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:12:y:2001:i:6:p:497-535
    DOI: 10.1080/10430710108405001
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