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Some systems perspectives on demand management during Cape Town’s 2015–2018 water crisis

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  • Mike Muller

Abstract

Cape Town recently suffered severe water shortages triggered by a multi-year drought. These shortages were aggravated by reliance on demand management to balance supply and demand in the rapidly growing city. This article considers the interaction between the supply-side planning system and the less systematic approach used to plan and manage what is characterized as the demand-side system. Political priorities and preferences as well as perceptions of and attitudes towards risk influenced demand forecasts and development decisions. The experience illustrates the importance of a more systematic approach to demand forecasting to reduce the risk of supply failures.

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  • Mike Muller, 2020. "Some systems perspectives on demand management during Cape Town’s 2015–2018 water crisis," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6), pages 1054-1072, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:cijwxx:v:36:y:2020:i:6:p:1054-1072
    DOI: 10.1080/07900627.2019.1667754
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