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The fall 2022 crisis

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  • Colin Kahl

Abstract

This first-hand account by then-US Under Secretary of Defence for Policy, Colin Kahl, recalls how he helped manage the Fall 2022 Crisis with Russia. It is as such both a piece of evidence, as well as an interpretation of the events in late 2022. Kahl argues that US deterrence messaging, dissuading Moscow from potentially using nuclear weapons in Ukraine, appeared to break through at some point in the crisis. He also points to the potential effects of simultaneous messaging by US allies, by India and China. With the evidence from Ukraine in mind, Kahl concludes that as long as nuclear weapons exist, every great-power war carries the shadow of catastrophe. It is therefore the highest collective obligation of the international community to deter and de-escalate the conflicts and conventional wars that could lead down this disastrous path.

Suggested Citation

  • Colin Kahl, 2026. "The fall 2022 crisis," Defense & Security Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 240-245, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:cdanxx:v:42:y:2026:i:2:p:240-245
    DOI: 10.1080/14751798.2026.2635157
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