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Defence preparedness and readiness

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  • d'Artis Kancs

Abstract

The defence preparedness and readiness of NATO allies is increasingly being challenged not only by Russia, but since recently doubted also by some of its long-standing allies. This study examines how prepared are NATO allies to address a protracted conflict and war in Europe, and what strategies could enhance its readiness. Assessing the current state of two strategic readiness dimensions empirically – mobilisation readiness and sustained whole-of-society resilience – reveals that particularly the defence industrial preparedness faces structural challenges, also vis-à-vis historical defence readiness during the Cold War. A scenario analysis of a hypothetical worst-case scenario reveals a sizeable cross-country heterogeneity in whole-of-society resilience. The simulation results suggest that today's existing problems will only be amplified in a protracted conflict or war scenario. To ensure NATO strategic readiness under the most demanding conditions, it is imperative that allies embark on a rapid de-risking trajectory well before the worst-case scenario has realised.

Suggested Citation

  • d'Artis Kancs, 2026. "Defence preparedness and readiness," Defense & Security Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(1), pages 83-113, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:cdanxx:v:42:y:2026:i:1:p:83-113
    DOI: 10.1080/14751798.2025.2531708
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