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Can fat-tail create the momentum and reversal?

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  • Kwangil Bae
  • Hankil Kang
  • Jangkoo Kang

Abstract

We suggest that fat-tail variations can cause both short-term momentum and long-term reversal simultaneously, in both the time series and cross-sectional returns of securities. The fat-tail of the distribution is known to explain many anomalies in the financial market, but not momentum. To support our argument, we adopt widely accepted models in the literature, which generate reversal only, and revise a single assumption: Each random variable follows a non-normal stable distribution rather than a normal distribution. This single difference generates additional short-term return momentum. This finding shows that 1) investor irrationality is not essential to generate both phenomena, and 2) we must be cautious not to overuse normal distributions in the models.

Suggested Citation

  • Kwangil Bae & Hankil Kang & Jangkoo Kang, 2020. "Can fat-tail create the momentum and reversal?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(44), pages 4850-4863, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:44:p:4850-4863
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1746481
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    Cited by:

    1. A. Gómez-Águila & J. E. Trinidad-Segovia & M. A. Sánchez-Granero, 2022. "Improvement in Hurst exponent estimation and its application to financial markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-21, December.

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