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Beware of the crash risk: Tail beta and the cross-section of stock returns in China

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  • Huaigang Long
  • Adam Zaremba
  • Yuexiang Jiang

Abstract

We investigate the pricing of systematic tail risk measured by tail beta in the Chinese equity market. Using an array of tests, we examine the performance of more than 3,300 stocks for the years 1999 through 2018. Contrary to evidence from developed markets, we demonstrate a strong negative relationship between the tail beta and future returns. The effect is robust to many considerations and cannot be explained by established pricing factors or alternative risk or illiquidity measures. We link our findings to specific characteristics of the Chinese stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Huaigang Long & Adam Zaremba & Yuexiang Jiang, 2019. "Beware of the crash risk: Tail beta and the cross-section of stock returns in China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(44), pages 4870-4881, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:44:p:4870-4881
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602717
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    Cited by:

    1. David Blitz & Matthias X. Hanauer & Pim Vliet, 2021. "The Volatility Effect in China," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(5), pages 338-349, September.

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