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Does variability in crimes affect other crimes? The case of international corruption and shadow economy

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  • Rajeev K. Goel
  • James W. Saunoris

Abstract

Using data on more than 125 countries, this article attempts to add to the research linking corruption and the shadow economy by examining the effect of variability (uncertainty) in one white-collar crime on the prevalence of the other. Measuring variability alternately via a 3-year and a 5-year moving SD, the following main points emerge from the econometric analysis that accounts for bi-directional causality. First, with shadow economy as the dependent variable, shadow economy and corruption are substitutes, and greater variability in corruption increases the shadow economy. Second, the effect of corruption variability is stronger in the short run than the long run. Third, with corruption as the dependent variable, corruption and shadow economy again turn out to be substitutes. Fourth, the effect of shadow economy variability has no statistically significant influence on corruption. Fifth, the findings are somewhat sensitive to an alternate measure of the shadow economy that covers a longer period.

Suggested Citation

  • Rajeev K. Goel & James W. Saunoris, 2019. "Does variability in crimes affect other crimes? The case of international corruption and shadow economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(3), pages 239-258, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:3:p:239-258
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494378
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    Cited by:

    1. Cristina Timofte (Coca) & Dorel Mates & Dan-Andrei Coca & Simona-Maria Tanasa (Brinzaru), 2020. "The Relationship between Tax Evasion and Corruption. A Cross-country Examination," Book chapters-LUMEN Proceedings, in: Adriana Grigorescu & Valentin Radu (ed.), 1st International Conference Global Ethics - Key of Sustainability (GEKoS), edition 1, volume 11, chapter 18, pages 173-181, Editura Lumen.
    2. Chletsos, Michael & Sintos, Andreas, 2021. "Hide and seek: IMF intervention and the shadow economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 292-319.
    3. Catalina Granda-Carvajal & Danny García-Callejas, 2023. "Informality, tax policy and the business cycle: exploring the links," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(1), pages 114-166, February.
    4. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Binh Quang Nguyen, 2023. "Does the shadow economy matter for tourism consumption? New global evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 729-773, August.
    5. Raffaella Barone & Donato Masciandaro & Friedrich Schneider, 2022. "Corruption and money laundering: You scratch my back, i’ll scratch yours," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(1), pages 318-342, February.
    6. Folorunsho M. Ajide, 2021. "Shadow economy in Africa: how relevant is financial inclusion?," Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 29(3), pages 297-316, April.

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