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US--Indonesia trade at commodity level and the role of the exchange rate

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
  • Hanafiah Harvey

Abstract

Previous studies that assessed the impact of currency depreciation on inpayments and outpayments of Indonesia with her major trading partners did not find much significant results, especially in the trade with the United States. We wonder whether insignificant link between the real rupiah-dollar rate and Indonesia's inpayments and outpayments with the United States is due to aggregation bias. To answer this question, we disaggregate the trade flows between the two countries by commodity and consider the sensitivity of inpayments of 108 US exporting industries and outpayments of 32 US importing industries from Indonesia. We find that most industries respond to exchange rate changes in the short run. In the long run, however, 32 inpayments schedule and 17 outpayments schedule are significantly affected. A 1% real depreciation of the dollar was found to improve US trade balance by 1.8%.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2014. "US--Indonesia trade at commodity level and the role of the exchange rate," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(18), pages 2154-2166, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2154-2166
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.896985
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    Cited by:

    1. Abdorreza Soleymani & Soo Y. Chua & Abdul Fatah Che Hamat, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility and ASEAN-4’s trade flows: is there a third country effect?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 91-117, January.
    2. Bilal KARGI, 2014. "Time Series Analysis about the Relationship between Foreign Trade and Exchange Rate in Turkish Economy," Timisoara Journal of Economics and Business, West University of Timisoara, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 7(2), pages 123-133, December.

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