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The Fisher hypothesis: a multi-country analysis

Author

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  • Hakan Berument
  • Mohamed Mehdi Jelassi

Abstract

This paper tests whether the Fisher hypothesis holds for a sample of 26 countries by assessing the long run relationship between nominal interest rates and inflation rates taking into consideration the short run dynamics of interest rates. The empirical evidence supports the hypothesis that there is a one-to-one relationship between the interest rate and inflation for more than half of the countries under study.

Suggested Citation

  • Hakan Berument & Mohamed Mehdi Jelassi, 2002. "The Fisher hypothesis: a multi-country analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(13), pages 1645-1655.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1645-1655
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840110115118
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2015. "The Fisher Effect Using Differences in The Deterministic Term," MPRA Paper 77921, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    2. Saadet Kasman & Adnan Kasman & Evrim Turgutlu, 2006. "Fisher Hypothesis Revisited: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(6), pages 59-76, December.
    3. Westerlund, J., 2006. "Panel cointegration tests of the Fisher effect," Research Memorandum 054, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    4. Kose, Nezir & Emirmahmutoglu, Furkan & Aksoy, Sezgin, 2012. "The interest rate–inflation relationship under an inflation targeting regime: The case of Turkey," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 476-485.
    5. Saadet Kasman & Adnan Kasman & Evrim Turgutlu, 2006. "Fisher Hypothesis Revisited: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(6), pages 59-76, December.
    6. Hakan Berument & Nildag Basak Ceylan & Hasan Olgun, 2007. "Inflation uncertainty and interest rates: is the Fisher relation universal?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 53-68.
    7. Burcu Kiran, 2013. "A fractional cointegration analysis of Fisher hypothesis: evidence from Turkey," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 1077-1084, February.
    8. Keshab Bhattarai, 2008. "An empirical study of interest rate determination rules," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 327-343.
    9. Kandil, Magda, 2005. "Money, interest, and prices: Some international evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 129-147.
    10. Takayasu Ito, 2009. "Fisher Hypothesis in Japan: Analysis of Long-term Interest Rates under Different Monetary Policy Regimes," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(7), pages 1019-1035, July.
    11. Mohammed Saiful ISLAM & Mohammad Hasmat ALI, 2012. "Taylor Principle Supplements the Fisher Effect: Empirical Investigation under the US Context," Economia. Seria Management, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 15(1), pages 189-203, June.
    12. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2016. "On The Fisher Effect: A Review," MPRA Paper 77916, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2016.
    13. Rodionova, Alena, 2014. "Formation of long-term rate of return: Fisher effect in the markets of public debt of developing countries," Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, pages 116-139.
    14. Charles O. Manasseh & Ambrose N. Omeje, 2016. "Application of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroschedasticity Model on Inflation and Share Price Movement in Nigeria," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1491-1501.
    15. Antonio Ruiz Porras & Fidel Gustavo Cruz Ruiz, 2016. "Las hipótesis de Fisher en Latinoamérica: un análisis de cointegración," REVISTA FINANZAS Y POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA DE COLOMBIA, vol. 8(2), pages 301-326, September.
    16. Saadet Kirbas Kasman & Adnan Kasman & Evrim Turgutlu, 2005. "Fisher Hypothesis Revisited: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis," Discussion Paper Series 05/04, Dokuz Eylül University, Faculty of Business, Department of Economics, revised 23 Nov 2005.
    17. Joakim Westerlund, 2008. "Panel cointegration tests of the Fisher effect," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 193-233.

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