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Long-run versus short-run behaviour of the real exchange rates

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  • Antonio Costa
  • Nuno Crato

Abstract

This paper discusses the mean stationarity of real exchange rates by using new time series methods and new tests. The question whether the real exchange rates have a unit root or are level reverting is set in the general and flexible framework of fractionally integrated processes. The estimations and tests sustain the claim that real exchange rates may be nonstationary and not revert to any short-run parity. However, estimations also suggest that real exchange rates behave differently on the short and on the long run and that they may revert to parity in a century-long period.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio Costa & Nuno Crato, 2001. "Long-run versus short-run behaviour of the real exchange rates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(5), pages 683-688.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:683-688
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840122409
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    Cited by:

    1. Canepa Alessandra, 2022. "Small Sample Adjustment for Hypotheses Testing on Cointegrating Vectors," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 51-85, January.
    2. Dimitrios Sideris, 2008. "Real Exchange Rates over a Century: The Case of the Drachma/Sterling Rate, 1833-1939," Working Papers 66, Bank of Greece.
    3. Andre Varella Mollick & Margot Quijano, 2004. "The Mexican Peso And The Korean Won Real Exchange Rates: Evidence From Productivity Models," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 29(1), pages 189-208, June.

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