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Does news on real Chinese GDP growth impact stock markets?

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  • Philip Hans Franses
  • Heleen Mees

Abstract

Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in China follows a random walk. Also, it has often been suggested that China 'cooks its books', that is to say that governmental officials in China manipulate economic statistics, such as GDP growth rate to present the outside world a rosy picture (Foreign Policy, 3 September 2009). If such unreliability is known to stock traders, news on GDP should not impact stock market fluctuations or their volatility. We test this hypothesis for 12 series with daily stock market returns for the years 2006 to and including 2009.

Suggested Citation

  • Philip Hans Franses & Heleen Mees, 2011. "Does news on real Chinese GDP growth impact stock markets?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1-2), pages 61-66.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:21:y:2011:i:1-2:p:61-66
    DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2011.523190
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    2. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. , & Hwa, Yen Siew & Chua, Soo Y. & Hooi, Lean Hooi, 2015. "Do Indian Economic Activities Impact ASEAN-5 Stock Markets?," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 49(2), pages 61-76.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts

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