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PMO factor crowding and returns: evidence from China

Author

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  • Shuai Xing
  • Yi Luo
  • Tieming Li

Abstract

Using data from the Chinese stock market from 2000–2023, we first re-examine the Pessimistic-Minus-Optimistic (PMO) effect induced by the abnormal turnover rates in the A-share market. Next, we construct a crowding index of the PMO factor. And the findings show that the crowding index of the PMO factor could have a significant negative impact on the future PMO returns and vice versa, considering the realistic strict short-selling constraint. These mutual influences are short-term and will quickly decay. However, we do not observe a similar pattern in the ideal context of no restrictions on short-selling. This implies that relaxing restrictions in the stock market is beneficial for reducing mispricing errors in China to some extent.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuai Xing & Yi Luo & Tieming Li, 2026. "PMO factor crowding and returns: evidence from China," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(7), pages 987-993, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:33:y:2026:i:7:p:987-993
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2024.2401517
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