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Recovering risk aversion from Bitcoin option prices and realized returns

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  • Zhiyong Cheng

Abstract

This study recovers the Bitcoin option-implied risk aversion by jointly estimating a cross-sectional dataset of option prices and time-series data of realized returns on underlying asset prices. The empirical analysis of Bitcoin options on Deribit shows that the risk aversion function exhibits a peak shape, with the level of implied risk aversion of Bitcoin options ranging from $ - 0.2$−0.2 to 0.05, which is significantly lower than that of the traditional options market; furthermore, maturity affects the level of option-implied risk aversion, with shorter maturity implying higher risk-aversion levels. Moreover, our research indicates that after halving of Bitcoin, investors’ risk aversion function becomes higher and steeper than before.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhiyong Cheng, 2026. "Recovering risk aversion from Bitcoin option prices and realized returns," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 537-541, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:33:y:2026:i:4:p:537-541
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2024.2381564
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