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Set-level strategic and psychological momentum in best-of-five matches in professional tennis

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  • Craig A. Depken
  • John M. Gandar
  • Dmitry A. Shapiro

Abstract

We provide a theoretical and empirical analysis of set-level strategic and psychological momentums in a sample of 8,193 ATP best-of-five-set tennis matches where players have asymmetric abilities. Theoretical predictions match observed Set 1 outcomes, the only set with no set-level psychological momentum, but do not match any other sets. We find evidence of psychological reversal: in every set following a non-tie net score, the winner of the previous set underperforms compared to theoretical predictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Craig A. Depken & John M. Gandar & Dmitry A. Shapiro, 2023. "Set-level strategic and psychological momentum in best-of-five matches in professional tennis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 735-739, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:30:y:2023:i:6:p:735-739
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2021.2016582
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    Cited by:

    1. Craig A. Depken II & John M. Gandar & Dmitry A. Shapiro, 2022. "Set-level Strategic and Psychological Momentum in Best-of-three-set Professional Tennis Matches," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 23(5), pages 598-623, June.

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