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Economic policy uncertainty and firm performance

Author

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  • Umer Iqbal
  • Christopher Gan
  • Muhammad Nadeem

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and firm performance of the US-listed non-financial firms. Using four proxies of firm performance such as Return on Assets, Return on Equity, Net Profit Margin and Tobin’s Q, we find that the effect of EPU on firm performance is significant and negative on all four proxies. System-GMM estimation is used to address the problem of endogeneity because unreported results show the presence of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation in OLS and fixed effect estimations.

Suggested Citation

  • Umer Iqbal & Christopher Gan & Muhammad Nadeem, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and firm performance," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(10), pages 765-770, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:27:y:2020:i:10:p:765-770
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2019.1645272
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Asif Khan & Masood Ahmed & József Popp & Judit Oláh, 2020. "US Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Nexus Revisited through Dynamic ARDL Simulation and Threshold Modelling," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-20, November.
    2. Yi‐Ting Peng & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2022. "Analyzing the degree of persistence of economic policy uncertainty using linear and non‐linear fourier quantile unit root tests," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(4), pages 453-471, July.
    3. Saurabh Mishra & Sachin B. Modi & Michael A. Wiles, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and shareholder wealth: the role of marketing, operations, and R&D capabilities," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 50(5), pages 1011-1031, September.
    4. Duan, Yuejiao & Fan, Xiaoyun & Wang, Yu, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and bank systemic risk: A cross-country analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    5. Hamza Almustafa & Imad Jabbouri & Ploypailin Kijkasiwat, 2023. "Economic Policy Uncertainty, Financial Leverage, and Corporate Investment: Evidence from U.S. Firms," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-19, January.
    6. Nguyen, Duc Nguyen & Nguyen, Canh Phuc & Dang, Le Phuong Xuan, 2022. "Uncertainty and corporate default risk: Novel evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    7. Maquieira, Carlos P. & Espinosa-Méndez, Christian & Gahona-Flores, Orlando, 2023. "How does economic policy uncertainty (EPU) impact copper-firms stock returns? International evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    8. Nattarinee Denlertchaikul & Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard & Pornsit Jiraporn & Piyachart Phiromswad, 2022. "The Interaction Effect of Text-Based Corporate Innovation and Economic Policy Uncertainty on Firm Performance," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(4), pages 21582440221, November.
    9. Alam, Ahmed W. & Farjana, Ashupta & Houston, Reza, 2023. "State-level economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and firm financial stability: Is there any political insurance?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    10. Richard Arhinful & Mehrshad Radmehr, 2023. "The Impact of Financial Leverage on the Financial Performance of the Firms Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, November.
    11. Conrado Diego García-Gómez & Ender Demir & Ming-Hsiang Chen & José María Díez-Esteban, 2022. "Understanding the effects of economic policy uncertainty on US tourism firms’ performance," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1174-1192, August.
    12. Gaurav Gupta & Jitendra Mahakud, 2022. "Impact of financial distress on investment-cash flow sensitivity: evidence from emerging economy," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 19(4), pages 713-743, July.
    13. Pinar Sener & Fatma Didin Sonmez & Elvin Tigrel, 2022. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on corporate diversification: evidence from Latin american emerging economies," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(2), pages 1110-1123.
    14. Hussein Alkhyyoon & Mohammad Reza Abbaszadeh & Farzaneh Nassir Zadeh, 2023. "Organizational Risk Management and Performance from the Perspective of Fraud: A Comparative Study in Iraq, Iran, and Saudi Arabia," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-27, March.
    15. Li, Wanli & Su, Yueying & Wang, Kaixiu, 2022. "How does economic policy uncertainty affect cross-border M&A: Evidence from Chinese firms," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    16. Ivanka Nestoroska, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Firm Performance in the Czech Republic," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 10(1), pages 10-16.
    17. Theodora Bermpei & Antonios Nikolaos Kalyvas & Lorenzo Neri & Antonella Russo, 2022. "Does economic policy uncertainty matter for financial reporting quality? Evidence from the United States," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 795-845, February.
    18. Nguyen, Thanh Pham Thien & Nghiem, Son & Tripe, David, 2021. "Does oil price aggravate the impact of economic policy uncertainty on bank performance in India?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    19. Tanveer Bagh & Abdul Waheed & Muhammad Asif Khan & Mirza Muhammad Naseer, 2023. "Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on China’s Stock Price Index: A Comprehensive Analysis Using Wavelet Coherence Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
    20. Ines Kahloul & Jocelyn Grira & Khawla Hlel, 2023. "The trilogy of economic policy uncertainty, earnings management and firm performance: empirical evidence from France," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(1), pages 184-206, March.
    21. Ruixin Su & Jianguo Du & Fakhar Shahzad & Xingle Long, 2020. "Unveiling the Effect of Mean and Volatility Spillover between the United States Economic Policy Uncertainty and WTI Crude Oil Price," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-12, August.
    22. Fedorova, Elena & Ledyaeva, Svetlana & Drogovoz, Pavel & Nevredinov, Alexandr, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and bankruptcy filings," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    23. Dang, Van Dan & Nguyen, Hoang Chung, 2022. "Bank profitability under uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 119-134.
    24. Quader, Syed Manzur, 2023. "The interplay between uncertainty, managerial decision making, and firm value: Evidence from Bangladesh," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    25. Ji, Yu & Shi, Lina & Zhang, Shunming, 2022. "Digital finance and corporate bankruptcy risk: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).

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