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Does unemployment increase crime? Evidence from Italian provinces

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  • Nino Speziale

Abstract

Criminality is one of the most worrying phenomena that affect economic development and social well-being. Authorities employ various schemes to prevent and discourage illegal behaviours. This article presents an analysis of the economic determinants of crime in Italy, with a special focus on unemployment effect on crime. Using a dynamic specification for the 103 Italian provinces over the period 2000 to 2005, results are in line with the predictions of the economic model of crime (Becker, 1968). The deterrence variables have the expected sign in all crime rates. The unemployment rates have a positive correlation with all crime rates. The juvenile unemployment rate shows a lower estimated coefficient than that of the overall unemployment rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Nino Speziale, 2014. "Does unemployment increase crime? Evidence from Italian provinces," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(15), pages 1083-1089, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:15:p:1083-1089
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.909568
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    Cited by:

    1. Sarah A. Frederick & James J. Jozefowicz & Zackary T. Nelson, 2016. "A dynamic panel data study of the unemployment-crime relationship: the case of Pennsylvania," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(3), pages 1497-1507.
    2. Kabeya Clement Mulamba, 2021. "A Spatial Analysis of Property Crime Rates in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 89(3), pages 329-347, September.
    3. Jonathan Torres‐Tellez & Alberto Montero Soler, 2023. "After the economic crisis of 2008: Economic conditions and crime in the last decade for the case of Spain," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 82(3), pages 223-239, May.

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