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Impact of Inflation, Exchange Rate and Interest Rate on the Private Sector Credit of Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Umair Ali
  • Saliha Gul Abbasi
  • Mazhar Abbas
  • Ghulam Dastgeer

Abstract

The paper analyzed the long-term and short-term impact of interest rate, exchange rate and inflation on the private sector credit of Pakistan during the period from 1975 to 2018. To test the stationarity of data Augmented Dick Fuller (ADF) Test was applied. While the main model to explore the long-term and short-term dependence was based on Auto Regressive Distribution Lag (ARDL) Model. The results suggested no effect of exchange rate on private sector credit, while inflation has significant as well as positive impact on Private Sector Credit (PSC) in long as well as short run. Lastly, the most important dependence i.e. interest effect on PSC; depicted negative impact in both short and long term.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Umair Ali & Saliha Gul Abbasi & Mazhar Abbas & Ghulam Dastgeer, 2020. "Impact of Inflation, Exchange Rate and Interest Rate on the Private Sector Credit of Pakistan," Journal of Accounting and Finance in Emerging Economies, CSRC Publishing, Center for Sustainability Research and Consultancy Pakistan, vol. 6(4), pages 1133-1138, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:src:jafeec:v:6:y:2020:i:4:p:1133-1138
    DOI: http://doi.org/10.26710/jafee.v6i4.1477
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