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Deutsche Wirtschaft gut ausgelastet — Wirtschaftspolitik neu ausrichten
[German Economy on Track — Economic Policy Needs to be Realigned]

Author

Listed:
  • Roland Döhrn

    (RWI Essen)

  • Ferdinand Fichtner

    (DIW Berlin)

  • Oliver Holtemöller

    (Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle)

  • Stefan Kooths

    (Institut für Weltwirtschaft)

  • Timo Wollmershäuser

    (ifo Zentrum für Konjunkturforschung)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Die deutsche Wirtschaft befindet sich in einem moderaten Aufschwung. Die Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2016 prognostiziert, dass das Bruttoinlandsprodukt 2016 um 1,9%, 2017 um 1,4% und 2018 um 1,6% zulegen dürfte. Dabei gehen von der Weltkonjunktur nur geringe stimulierende Effekte aus, zudem dürften sich in den außerordentlich niedrigen Kapitalmarktzinsen nicht nur die derzeitige Geldpolitik, sondern auch niedrige Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln. All dies hemmt die Ausrüstungsinvestitionen. So ist es weiterhin in erster Linie der Konsum, der den Aufschwung trägt.

Suggested Citation

  • Roland Döhrn & Ferdinand Fichtner & Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Deutsche Wirtschaft gut ausgelastet — Wirtschaftspolitik neu ausrichten [German Economy on Track — Economic Policy Needs to be Realigned]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 96(10), pages 727-731, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:96:y:2016:i:10:d:10.1007_s10273-016-2041-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-016-2041-x
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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook

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