IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/wirtsc/v95y2015i3p192-199.html

Japans Lehren für das Schweizer Wechselkursdilemma

Author

Listed:
  • Gunther Schnabl

Abstract

In January 2015, the Swiss National Bank announced that the hard peg of the Swiss franc against the euro will be released and that the Swiss currency should float freely. This announcement brought the Swiss franc under strong appreciation pressure. The Swiss National Bank seems to have returned within a short time to a tight peg without officially announced parity. This paper shows that currencies of countries with persistent current account surpluses and high foreign currency denominated debt, such as the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen, are under a persistent appreciation pressure. Appreciation expectations, which are triggered by official announcements of appreciations, lead into runs in the domestic currency, which make appreciation expectations self fulfilling. Multiple equilibria emerge: the appreciation of the domestic currency and the appreciation induced crisis depend on the signals of the central bank concerning its tolerance of an appreciation of the domestic currency. The phenomenon is enhanced in an environment of very expansionary monetary policies in the centres of the world monetary system. The economic policy implication is a tight peg of the Swiss franc to the euro, because a better solution is not available. Copyright ZBW and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Gunther Schnabl, 2015. "Japans Lehren für das Schweizer Wechselkursdilemma," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 95(3), pages 192-199, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:95:y:2015:i:3:p:192-199
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-015-1805-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10273-015-1805-z
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10273-015-1805-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or

    for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:95:y:2015:i:3:p:192-199. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.