IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v25y2011i1p21-39.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Statistical Changes of Lake Stages in Two Rapidly Urbanizing Watersheds

Author

Listed:
  • Shayne Paynter
  • Mahmood Nachabe
  • George Yanev

Abstract

Understanding changes induced by watershed urbanization is integral to developing an effective long-term management strategy. In this research, the authors study statistical changes of lake water surface levels in two urbanizing watersheds by evaluating serial change in time series parameters, autocorrelation, and variance as well as by developing a regression model to estimate weekly lake level fluctuations. The authors fit a seasonal integrated autoregressive moving average model to lake levels over subperiods of the data record to identify trends in parameter values. The authors fit the regression model with rainfall, lake stage, and temperature components for pre-urbanized and urbanized time periods to identify changes in baseflow. The lakes were located in Pasco County, Florida, USA and have not been significantly influenced by changes in rainfall patterns, pumping, surface water extraction or physical modification. Furthermore, the lakes exhibit consistent watershed urbanization and have sufficiently long and complete records. Based upon the research, the authors reach the following general conclusions about lakes in urbanizing watersheds: (1) the statistical structure of lake level time series is systematically altered, (2) in the absence of other forcing mechanisms, autocorrelation and baseflow decrease, (3) the presence of wetlands adjacent to lakes can offset the reduction in baseflow. These conclusions can be applied globally to similar regions that consist of lakes undergoing urbanization in flat, humid, shallow water table environments with wetlands. Furthermore, the methodology utilized can be applied at lakes in both similar and dissimilar environments to those studied in this research. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Shayne Paynter & Mahmood Nachabe & George Yanev, 2011. "Statistical Changes of Lake Stages in Two Rapidly Urbanizing Watersheds," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(1), pages 21-39, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:25:y:2011:i:1:p:21-39
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-010-9685-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11269-010-9685-x
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-010-9685-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Manuel Mendoza & G. Bocco & M. Bravo & Erna Granados & W. Osterkamp, 2006. "Predicting Water-Surface Fluctuation of Continental Lakes: A RS and GIS Based Approach in Central Mexico," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(2), pages 291-311, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. O. Barron & M. Donn & A. Barr, 2013. "Urbanisation and Shallow Groundwater: Predicting Changes in Catchment Hydrological Responses," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(1), pages 95-115, January.
    2. Yirgalem Chebud & Assefa Melesse, 2011. "Operational Prediction of Groundwater Fluctuation in South Florida using Sequence Based Markovian Stochastic Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(9), pages 2279-2294, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Joseph Awange & Mohammad Sharifi & Godfrey Ogonda & Jens Wickert & Erik Grafarend & Monica Omulo, 2008. "The Falling Lake Victoria Water Level: GRACE, TRIMM and CHAMP Satellite Analysis of the Lake Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(7), pages 775-796, July.
    2. Xian Guan & Jonathan Li & William Booty, 2011. "Monitoring Lake Simcoe Water Clarity Using Landsat-5 TM Images," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(8), pages 2015-2033, June.
    3. Teodoro Carlón Allende & Manuel Mendoza & Erna López Granados & Luis Morales Manilla, 2009. "Hydrogeographical Regionalisation: An Approach for Evaluating the Effects of Land Cover Change in Watersheds. A Case Study in the Cuitzeo Lake Watershed, Central Mexico," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(12), pages 2587-2603, September.
    4. Ünal Yıldırım & Saffet Erdoğan & Murat Uysal, 2011. "Changes in the Coastline and Water Level of the Akşehir and Eber Lakes Between 1975 and 2009," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(3), pages 941-962, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:25:y:2011:i:1:p:21-39. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.