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Risk-Based Evaluation for Meeting Future Water Demand of the Brahmaputra Floodplain Within Bangladesh

Author

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  • Mohammad Mondal
  • Jahir Chowdhury
  • Md. Ferdous

Abstract

A risk-based evaluation is performed for meeting future water demands in the Brahmaputra Floodplain Area within Bangladesh (BFA). This evaluation is carried out using three risk-based performance indicators: reliability, resiliency and vulnerability. The vulnerability indicator has been redefined incorporating the aspect of a supply failure. The analysis includes the impacts of climate change on both water demands and resources, and the generation of synthetic flows of the Brahmaputra River using time series models. The simulated values of the indicators reveal that the expected demand of the BFA up to the year 2050 can be supplied with the proposed Brahmaputra Barrage inside Bangladesh under the ‘no change’ in climatic condition, provided that the groundwater remains usable. However, if groundwater becomes unusable due to widespread arsenic contamination and/or a climate change occurs, it would not be possible to meet the future water demand of the region with high reliability, moderate resiliency and low vulnerability. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Mondal & Jahir Chowdhury & Md. Ferdous, 2010. "Risk-Based Evaluation for Meeting Future Water Demand of the Brahmaputra Floodplain Within Bangladesh," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(5), pages 853-869, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:24:y:2010:i:5:p:853-869
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-009-9475-5
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Animesh Gain & Yoshihide Wada, 2014. "Assessment of Future Water Scarcity at Different Spatial and Temporal Scales of the Brahmaputra River Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(4), pages 999-1012, March.
    2. Đurica Marković & Jasna Plavšić & Nesa Ilich & Siniša Ilić, 2015. "Non-parametric Stochastic Generation of Streamflow Series at Multiple Locations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(13), pages 4787-4801, October.
    3. Quansen Wang & Jianzhong Zhou & Kangdi Huang & Ling Dai & Benjun Jia & Lu Chen & Hui Qin, 2021. "A Procedure for Combining Improved Correlated Sampling Methods and a Resampling Strategy to Generate a Multi-Site Conditioned Streamflow Process," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(3), pages 1011-1027, February.
    4. Mohamed Mohamed & Aysha Al-Mualla, 2010. "Water Demand Forecasting in Umm Al-Quwain (UAE) Using the IWR-MAIN Specify Forecasting Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(14), pages 4093-4120, November.
    5. Wenquan Gu & Dongguo Shao & Yufang Jiang, 2012. "Risk Evaluation of Water Shortage in Source Area of Middle Route Project for South-to-North Water Transfer in China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(12), pages 3479-3493, September.

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