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A Stochastic Model for Representing Drinking Water Demand at Residential Level

Author

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  • Stefano Alvisi
  • Marco Franchini
  • Alberto Marinelli

Abstract

In this study, attention is initially focussed on modelling finely sampled (1 min) residential water demand time series. Subsequently, the possibility of simulating the water demand time series relevant to different time intervals and many users is analysed by using an aggregation approach. A cluster Neyman-Scott stochastic process (NSRP) is proposed to represent the residential water demand and a parameterisation procedureis implemented to respect the cyclical behaviour usually observed in any working day. A validation is performed on the basis of the one-minute datacollected on the water distribution system of Castelfranco Emilia located in the province of Modena (I). The elaborations performed show the validity both of the NSRP model and the parameterisation procedure proposedto represent the residential demand with fine time intervals (up to 5–10 min). On the other hand, when a procedure of aggregation is applied to represent the water demand of a high number of users, the results are nolonger satisfactory since only the mean is preserved while the other statistics, and in particular the variance, are underestimated. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2003

Suggested Citation

  • Stefano Alvisi & Marco Franchini & Alberto Marinelli, 2003. "A Stochastic Model for Representing Drinking Water Demand at Residential Level," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 17(3), pages 197-222, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:17:y:2003:i:3:p:197-222
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1024100518186
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    Cited by:

    1. Anja Soboll & Michael Elbers & Roland Barthel & Juergen Schmude & Andreas Ernst & Ralf Ziller, 2011. "Integrated regional modelling and scenario development to evaluate future water demand under global change conditions," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 477-498, April.
    2. Gabriella Balacco & Vincenzo Totaro & Vito Iacobellis & Alessandro Manni & Mauro Spagnoletta & Alberto Ferruccio Piccinni, 2020. "Influence of COVID-19 Spread on Water Drinking Demand: The Case of Puglia Region (Southern Italy)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-16, July.
    3. Roberto Magini & Manuela Moretti & Maria Antonietta Boniforti & Roberto Guercio, 2023. "A Machine-Learning Approach for Monitoring Water Distribution Networks (WDNs)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-17, February.
    4. Xiao-Jun Wang & Jian-Yun Zhang & Shamsuddin Shahid & Wei Xie & Chao-Yang Du & Xiao-Chuan Shang & Xu Zhang, 2018. "Modeling domestic water demand in Huaihe River Basin of China under climate change and population dynamics," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 911-924, April.

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