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Scenario forecast of the development of the Northern Sea Route

Author

Listed:
  • N. I. Komkov

    (Peter the Great Polytechnic University)

  • V. S. Selin

    (Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • V. A. Tsukerman

    (Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • E. S. Goryachevskaya

    (Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

The main exogenous (natural resources, climate, and world oil and gas markets) and endogenous (transport infrastructure, investments, and icebreaking and commercial fleets) factors are specified in the article as influencing freight traffic in areas of the Arctic waters. The scenarios of the development of freight flows of the Northern Sea Route in the short and strategic term are substantiated.

Suggested Citation

  • N. I. Komkov & V. S. Selin & V. A. Tsukerman & E. S. Goryachevskaya, 2016. "Scenario forecast of the development of the Northern Sea Route," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 180-188, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:27:y:2016:i:2:d:10.1134_s1075700716020076
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700716020076
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Olga Shestak & Oleg L. Shcheka & Yury Klochkov, 2020. "Methodological aspects of use of countries experience in determining the directions of the strategic development of the Russian Federation arctic regions," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 11(1), pages 44-62, May.
    2. Yu. V. Pankova & O. V. Tarasova, 2020. "On Scenarios of Development of the Arctic Economy and Navigation," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(5), pages 514-521, September.
    3. Elena Katysheva, 2023. "Analysis of the Interconnected Development Potential of the Oil, Gas and Transport Industries in the Russian Arctic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-22, March.
    4. Pavel Konyukhovskiy & Victoria Holodkova & Aleksander Titov, 2019. "Modeling Competition between Countries in the Development of Arctic Resources," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, March.
    5. V. N. Lazhentsev, 2018. "The Russian North: Economic and Geographic Aspects of Development," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(5), pages 481-489, September.
    6. Olga Shestak & Oleg L. Shcheka & Yury Klochkov, 0. "Methodological aspects of use of countries experience in determining the directions of the strategic development of the Russian Federation arctic regions," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 0, pages 1-19.
    7. S. A. Chernogorskiy & A. V. Kozlov & A. B. Teslya, 2020. "Game-theoretic modeling of decision-making on state support for the infrastructure development in the Russian Far North," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 11(1), pages 10-18, May.
    8. Do Van Thanh, 2019. "Macro-Econometric Model For Medium-Term Socio-Economic Development Planning In Vietnam. Part 1: Structure Of The Model," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(1), pages 121-136.

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