IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v82y2016i1d10.1007_s11069-016-2212-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Using new models to assess probabilistic seismic hazard of the North–South Seismic Zone in China

Author

Listed:
  • Changlong Li

    (China Earthquake Administration)

  • Weijin Xu

    (China Earthquake Administration)

  • Jian Wu

    (China Earthquake Administration)

  • Mengtan Gao

    (China Earthquake Administration)

Abstract

The North–South Seismic Zone is a well-known seismotectonic zone in China that frequently experiences major earthquakes. A new probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) for this zone is required. In this study, we perform a new PSHA for the North–South Seismic Zone with new models, including a fault source model and a time-dependent seismicity model of major-earthquake seismogenic structures. We demonstrate that the seismic hazard in areas near faults calculated using the fault source model is higher than that calculated using the area model. Faults close to their expected recurrence time for major earthquakes have high seismic hazard. Areas of high seismic hazard in the North–South Seismic Zone between 2016 and 2065 are the Moxi Segment of the Xianshuihe Fault, the Anninghe Fault, and the Daliangshan Fault. High-seismic-hazard areas between 2066 and 2115 are the Luhuo and Zheduotang segments of the Xianshuihe Fault and the Anninghe Fault. The Moxi Segment of the Xianshuihe Fault has the highest seismic hazard over the next 50 years.

Suggested Citation

  • Changlong Li & Weijin Xu & Jian Wu & Mengtan Gao, 2016. "Using new models to assess probabilistic seismic hazard of the North–South Seismic Zone in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(1), pages 659-681, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:82:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2212-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2212-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-016-2212-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-016-2212-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xing Ju & Yunxiao Fan & Tianqi Li & Yi Niu & Hongkun Liang & Ying Wang & Chenyu Hao & Liguo Jiao & Xi Xu, 2023. "Method for site selection of relief supply warehouses in earthquakes with Ms ≥ 7—a case study of western Yunnan, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3495-3520, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:82:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2212-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.