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Landslide risk assessment using an integrated framework of machine learning algorithms and multi-criteria decision analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Hang Ha

    (National University of Civil Engineering)

  • Chinh Luu

    (National University of Civil Engineering)

  • Quynh Duy Bui

    (National University of Civil Engineering)

  • Viet-Phuong Nguyen

    (Hanoi University of Civil Engineering)

  • Ngoc-Tru Vu

    (Hanoi University of Civil Engineering)

  • Matthieu Kervyn

    (Vrije Universiteit Brussel)

Abstract

Landslides in mountainous regions, such as Son La province in northern Vietnam, pose significant risks to human life, property, and infrastructure. Rapid urbanization and deforestation in Vietnam exacerbate landslide risks, making effective landslide risk assessment crucial for disaster mitigation and management. This study introduces a new integrated framework combining machine learning models and multi-criteria decision analysis to estimate landslide risk. We utilized 1,771 landslide locations from various sources and fifteen landslide influencing factors as model input to create landslide susceptibility maps using advanced hybrid machine learning models. The Analytic Hierarchy Process is used to weight indicators of social-economic and infrastructure impacts, resulting in a comprehensive landslide risk assessment map. The final risk map showed the landslide susceptibility and consequences in a matrix, highlighting that 3.25% of the area is at very high risk, 14.25% at high risk, 23.46% at medium risk, and 59.05% at low and very low risk. This study emphasizes the consideration of landslide consequence indicators in landslide risk modelling to more accurately reflect potential loss degrees. This comprehensive approach enhances our understanding of the physical and socio-economic impacts, thereby significantly contributing to landslide mitigation and adaptation strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Hang Ha & Chinh Luu & Quynh Duy Bui & Viet-Phuong Nguyen & Ngoc-Tru Vu & Matthieu Kervyn, 2025. "Landslide risk assessment using an integrated framework of machine learning algorithms and multi-criteria decision analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(17), pages 19723-19759, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:17:d:10.1007_s11069-025-07583-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-025-07583-8
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