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Semi-automated workflow for multi-basin, multi-scenario flood risk modeling, mapping, and impact assessment

Author

Listed:
  • A. K. Mandal

    (Florida Atlantic University)

  • Madan Thapa Chhetri

    (Florida Atlantic University
    Lehigh University)

  • Fred Bloetscher

    (Florida Atlantic University)

  • Yan Yong

    (Florida Atlantic University)

  • Hongbo Su

    (Florida Atlantic University)

Abstract

Flood risk assessment is essential for minimizing the adverse impacts of flooding on communities, particularly in regions experiencing more frequent and intense precipitation events. While existing flood modeling and mapping tools are widely used, workflows often require extensive manual processing especially when dealing with multi-basin and multi-scenario analyses which can affect efficiency and consistency. This study presents a semi-automated workflow designed to streamline flood risk modeling, mapping, and impact assessment using Python scripting within the ArcGIS Pro environment. The approach automates key steps including geoprocessing, hydrologic input preparation, map generation, and impact analysis, significantly reducing processing time by approximately 85% while ensuring uniformity across scenarios. The workflow was applied to generate 48 distinct flood scenarios incorporating rainfall, sea level rise, and tidal conditions. It includes probabilistic flood risk mapping using z-score calculations to account for modeling and elevation uncertainties. A case study from North Miami; Florida demonstrates how this semi-automated method improves efficiency and reproducibility in support of planning and decision-making. The proposed framework offers a flexible, scalable solution for local governments and water resource managers seeking timely, data-driven strategies for flood mitigation.

Suggested Citation

  • A. K. Mandal & Madan Thapa Chhetri & Fred Bloetscher & Yan Yong & Hongbo Su, 2025. "Semi-automated workflow for multi-basin, multi-scenario flood risk modeling, mapping, and impact assessment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(12), pages 14425-14441, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:12:d:10.1007_s11069-025-07361-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-025-07361-6
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