IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v121y2025i11d10.1007_s11069-025-07311-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling and analysis of extreme weather-induced disasters in Indian North-West Himalayas

Author

Listed:
  • Saurabh Singh

    (Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee)

  • Piyush Srivastava

    (Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee)

  • Amit Dhiman

    (Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee)

Abstract

The present study aims to investigate the suitability of the Weather Research and Forecast model (WRFv4.3.3) in simulating heavy to extreme rainfall due to extreme weather conditions over complex terrain in the Indian North-Western Himalayan region. For this, high-resolution model simulation (1 km × 1 km) of the 2013 and 2023 North India flood events caused by extreme weather conditions are performed. A comparative analysis based on model simulations, in-situ observations and reanalysis data suggests that the WRF model is able to capture the spatiotemporal distribution of key meteorological parameters, such as temperature, rainfall and geopotential height, along with mesoscale features such as low-level convergence, upper-level divergence, high humidity and convective instability demonstrating its ability to simulate the atmosphere dynamics leading to extreme precipitation events. Further, the WRF model is found to capture the shifts in meridional wind patterns, transporting moisture into the region and contributing to heavy rainfall.

Suggested Citation

  • Saurabh Singh & Piyush Srivastava & Amit Dhiman, 2025. "Modelling and analysis of extreme weather-induced disasters in Indian North-West Himalayas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(11), pages 13153-13171, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:11:d:10.1007_s11069-025-07311-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-025-07311-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-025-07311-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-025-07311-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Manish R. Ranalkar & Hemantkumar S. Chaudhari & Anupam Hazra & G. K. Sawaisarje & S. Pokhrel, 2016. "Dynamical features of incessant heavy rainfall event of June 2013 over Uttarakhand, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1579-1601, February.
    2. Alexandra Witze, 2022. "Extreme heatwaves: surprising lessons from the record warmth," Nature, Nature, vol. 608(7923), pages 464-465, August.
    3. Manish Ranalkar & Hemantkumar Chaudhari & Anupam Hazra & G. Sawaisarje & S. Pokhrel, 2016. "Dynamical features of incessant heavy rainfall event of June 2013 over Uttarakhand, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1579-1601, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mohammad Shafi Bhat & Sumira Mir & Hilal Ahmad Parrey & Irshad Ahmad Thoker & Shamim Ahmad Shah, 2024. "Climate change, hailstorm incidence, and livelihood security: a perspective from Kashmir valley India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(3), pages 2803-2827, February.
    2. A. Chevuturi & A. P. Dimri, 2016. "Investigation of Uttarakhand (India) disaster-2013 using weather research and forecasting model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(3), pages 1703-1726, July.
    3. Dandan Yu & Shan Li & Ning (Chris) Chen & Michael Hall & Zhongyang Guo, 2023. "High Temperatures and Tourism: Findings from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-14, September.
    4. Léo Régnier & Maxim Dolgushev & Olivier Bénichou, 2023. "Record ages of non-Markovian scale-invariant random walks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-7, December.
    5. Clara Pereira & Inês Flores‐Colen & Maria Paula Mendes, 2024. "Guidelines to reduce the effects of urban heat in a changing climate: Green infrastructures and design measures," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 57-83, February.
    6. Mi-Kyung Sung & Soon-Il An & Jongsoo Shin & Jae-Heung Park & Young-Min Yang & Hyo-Jeong Kim & Minhee Chang, 2023. "Ocean fronts as decadal thermostats modulating continental warming hiatus," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Adem Gök & Ayesha Ashraf & Elzbieta Jasinska, 2024. "The Role of Carbon Emissions on Inward Foreign Direct Investment: A Nonlinear Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-16, June.
    8. Patrick Moriarty & Damon Honnery, 2023. "Review: The Energy Implications of Averting Climate Change Catastrophe," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-16, August.
    9. Patrick Moriarty & Damon Honnery, 2022. "Renewable Energy and Energy Reductions or Solar Geoengineering for Climate Change Mitigation?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-16, October.
    10. Wang, Zhen & Yan, Haoben & Gao, Xue & Liang, Qiaomei & Mi, Zhifu & Liu, Lancui, 2024. "Have consumption-based CO2 emissions in developed countries peaked?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:11:d:10.1007_s11069-025-07311-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.