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A dynamic stability analysis for the Olinalá landslide, northeastern Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge A. Salinas-Jasso

    (Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León)

  • Juan C. Montalvo-Arrieta

    (Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León)

  • José R. Chapa-Guerrero

    (Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León)

Abstract

We have evaluated slope stability conditions considering different triggering conditions for the Olinalá landslide, a paleo-landslide located in the northern front of the Sierra Madre Oriental, northeastern Mexico. Models included assessment of the influence of both aseismic (suggesting different groundwater levels) and a strong earthquake shaking scenario. Results suggest the Olinalá landslide is relatively stable even considering a fully-saturated hydrological stage through the slope (e.g., after the impact of major hurricanes), a typical situation in the study area. Considering these circumstances, there is no evidence of a reactivation of the landslide after the impact of hurricanes in the region. Conversely, hazardous scenarios result after evaluate a combined influence of moderate seismicity and extreme hydrometeorological conditions. This study suggests that some geomorphological features observed in northeastern Mexico are unfeasible without considering the effect of earthquakes. Our approach could model the behavior of pseudostable old landslides through the region, in the face of future reactivations and risk situations.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge A. Salinas-Jasso & Juan C. Montalvo-Arrieta & José R. Chapa-Guerrero, 2020. "A dynamic stability analysis for the Olinalá landslide, northeastern Mexico," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(3), pages 1225-1248, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:102:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-020-03954-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-03954-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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