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Turning a Coin over Instead of Tossing It

Author

Listed:
  • János Engländer

    (University of Colorado)

  • Stanislav Volkov

    (Lund University)

Abstract

Given a sequence of numbers $$(p_n)_{n\ge 2}$$ ( p n ) n ≥ 2 in [0, 1], consider the following experiment. First, we flip a fair coin and then, at step n, we turn the coin over to the other side with probability $$p_n$$ p n , $$n\ge 2$$ n ≥ 2 , independently of the sequence of the previous terms. What can we say about the distribution of the empirical frequency of heads as $$n\rightarrow \infty $$ n → ∞ ? We show that a number of phase transitions take place as the turning gets slower (i. e., $$p_n$$ p n is getting smaller), leading first to the breakdown of the Central Limit Theorem and then to that of the Law of Large Numbers. It turns out that the critical regime is $$p_n=\text {const}/n$$ p n = const / n . Among the scaling limits, we obtain uniform, Gaussian, semicircle, and arcsine laws.

Suggested Citation

  • János Engländer & Stanislav Volkov, 2018. "Turning a Coin over Instead of Tossing It," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 1097-1118, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jotpro:v:31:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s10959-016-0725-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s10959-016-0725-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gantert, Nina, 1990. "Laws of large numbers for the annealing algorithm," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 309-313, August.
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