IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jknowl/v16y2025i2d10.1007_s13132-024-02084-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Enhancing Financial Risk Prediction Through Echo State Networks and Differential Evolutionary Algorithms in the Digital Era

Author

Listed:
  • Huan Xu

    (Shandong University)

  • Li Yang

    (Southwest University of Political Science & Law)

Abstract

In the ever-evolving landscape of financial investment, the digital era has ushered in a new paradigm characterized by technological innovation and sustainability considerations. This research paper delves into the intersection of technology, sustainability, and financial risk prediction. With the rise of digital finance and automated investment mechanisms, including blockchain technology and social media-driven market sentiment analysis, discerning investors now focus on sustainability through environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG) criteria. However, navigating this landscape is not without challenges, such as cybersecurity risks and privacy concerns. The paper addresses these issues by proposing a financial risk prediction model that leverages echo state networks (ESN) and differential evolutionary algorithms. By quantifying various risk indicators through data transformation and employing machine learning techniques, the model enhances the accuracy and robustness of risk identification. The research introduces an optimization methodology for multiple swarm differential planning algorithms, optimizing ESN networks for risk identification within financial investment data. Experimental results validate the efficacy of the proposed method, achieving accuracy levels near 90%. This study contributes valuable insights for the future of intelligent finance by demonstrating the superiority of the MPDE-ESN model in risk recognition. Future research directions include expanding the model’s generalization performance, addressing diverse financial risks, and integrating reinforcement learning for dynamic risk determination. Additionally, optimizing feature dimensions and identifying optimal features remain key areas of investigation in this digital age of financial innovation and sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • Huan Xu & Li Yang, 2025. "Enhancing Financial Risk Prediction Through Echo State Networks and Differential Evolutionary Algorithms in the Digital Era," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(2), pages 7039-7060, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jknowl:v:16:y:2025:i:2:d:10.1007_s13132-024-02084-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02084-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s13132-024-02084-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s13132-024-02084-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jknowl:v:16:y:2025:i:2:d:10.1007_s13132-024-02084-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.