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Assessing the Relative Importance of Nitrogen-Retention Processes in a Large Reservoir Using Time-Series Modeling

Author

Listed:
  • Elizabeth Hansen

    (Western Illinois University)

  • Kung-Sik Chan

    (University of Iowa)

  • Christopher S. Jones

    (University of Iowa)

  • Keith Schilling

    (University of Iowa)

Abstract

Nitrogen (N) removal within reservoirs can be substantial, but few studies have reported the relative importance of various N-retention pathways. Assessing N-removal processes in reservoirs is important for quantifying the impacts of reservoirs on downstream water quality. In this study, we used a time-series approach to quantify the relative importance of various N-removal processes in the Saylorville Reservoir in Iowa. Dynamic regression modeling of upstream–downstream changes in key water-quality surrogates (pH, hardness, alkalinity, and suspended solids) and their relation to N concentration changes were used to estimate the relative importances of denitrification, N assimilation by algal uptake, and sedimentation of N on N retention in the reservoir. Assuming that decreasing N concentrations in the reservoir are the sum of these three processes, we estimate that denitrification is the dominant N removal process (60.9 %) followed by algal assimilation (37.9 %) and sedimentation (1.2 %). Our approach represents a new method of establishing the relative importance of N-removal processes in reservoirs and quantifying the impacts of reservoirs on downstream water quality.

Suggested Citation

  • Elizabeth Hansen & Kung-Sik Chan & Christopher S. Jones & Keith Schilling, 2016. "Assessing the Relative Importance of Nitrogen-Retention Processes in a Large Reservoir Using Time-Series Modeling," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 21(1), pages 152-169, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jagbes:v:21:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s13253-015-0218-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s13253-015-0218-1
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