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The Prospects for Future Economic Growth in the Euro Area

Author

Listed:
  • Kieran McQuinn

    (Economic and Social Research Institute)

  • Karl Whelan

    (University College Dublin)

Abstract

With a long-term projection of TFP growth of 0.2 per cent, a gradual decline in the work-age population and a static average workweek, we project a "baseline" average real GDP growth rate in the euro area of just 0.6 per cent over the next decade — even if the unemployment rate and investment share of GDP return to their pre-crisis levels by 2020.

Suggested Citation

  • Kieran McQuinn & Karl Whelan, 2016. "The Prospects for Future Economic Growth in the Euro Area," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 51(6), pages 305-311, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:intere:v:51:y:2016:i:6:d:10.1007_s10272-016-0625-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10272-016-0625-8
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Buchner, 2020. "Fiscal Policy in an Age of Secular Stagnation," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 62(3), pages 398-429, September.
    2. Papetti, Andrea, 2021. "Demographics and the natural real interest Rate: historical and projected paths for the euro area," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Lis, Eliza & Nickel, Christiane & Papetti, Andrea, 2020. "Demographics and inflation in the euro area: a two-sector new Keynesian perspective," Working Paper Series 2382, European Central Bank.
    4. Magdalena Ziolo & Krzysztof Kluza & Anna Spoz, 2019. "Impact of Sustainable Financial and Economic Development on Greenhouse Gas Emission in the Developed and Converging Economies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-30, November.

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