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Pricing options on realized variance

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  • Peter Carr
  • Hélyette Geman

    ()

  • Dilip Madan

    ()

  • Marc Yor

    ()

Abstract

Models which hypothesize that returns are pure jump processes with independent increments have been shown to be capable of capturing the observed variation of market prices of vanilla stock options across strike and maturity. In this paper, these models are employed to derive in closed form the prices of derivatives written on future realized quadratic variation. Alternative work on pricing derivatives on quadratic variation has alternatively assumed that the underlying returns process is continuous over time. We compare the model values of derivatives on quadratic variation for the two types of models and find substantial differences. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin/Heidelberg 2005

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Carr & Hélyette Geman & Dilip Madan & Marc Yor, 2005. "Pricing options on realized variance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 453-475, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:9:y:2005:i:4:p:453-475 DOI: 10.1007/s00780-005-0155-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Lian, Guanghua & Chiarella, Carl & Kalev, Petko S., 2014. "Volatility swaps and volatility options on discretely sampled realized variance," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 239-262.
    2. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2005. "Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics," Economics Papers 2005-W16, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    3. Giovanni Salvi & Anatoliy V. Swishchuk, 2012. "Modeling and Pricing of Covariance and Correlation Swaps for Financial Markets with Semi-Markov Volatilities," Papers 1205.5565, arXiv.org.
    4. Pospisil, Libor & Vecer, Jan & Xu, Mingxin, 2007. "Tradable measure of risk," MPRA Paper 5059, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Akihiko Takahashi & Yukihiro Tsuzuki & Akira Yamazaki, 2009. "Hedging European Derivatives with the Polynomial Variance Swap under Uncertain Volatility Environments," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-653, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    6. Martin Keller-Ressel & Johannes Muhle-Karbe, 2013. "Asymptotic and exact pricing of options on variance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 107-133, January.
    7. Dotsis, George & Psychoyios, Dimitris & Skiadopoulos, George, 2007. "An empirical comparison of continuous-time models of implied volatility indices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 3584-3603, December.
    8. Don M. Chance & Eric Hillebrand & Jimmy E. Hilliard, 2008. "Pricing an Option on Revenue from an Innovation: An Application to Movie Box Office Revenue," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(5), pages 1015-1028, May.
    9. Wei Lin & Shenghong Li & Xingguo Luo & Shane Chern, 2015. "Consistent Pricing of VIX and Equity Derivatives with the 4/2 Stochastic Volatility Plus Jumps Model," Papers 1510.01172, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2015.
    10. Peter Carr & Roger Lee, 2013. "Variation and share-weighted variation swaps on time-changed Lévy processes," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 685-716, October.
    11. Jan Baldeaux & Alexander Badran, 2014. "Consistent Modelling of VIX and Equity Derivatives Using a 3/2 plus Jumps Model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, pages 299-312.
    12. Akihiko Takahashi & Yukihiro Tsuzuki & Akira Yamazaki, 2009. "Hedging European Derivatives with the Polynomial Variance Swap under Uncertain Volatility Environments," CARF F-Series CARF-F-161, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    13. Colino, Jesús P. & Nogales, Francisco J. & Stute, Winfried, 2008. "LIBOR additive model calibration to swaptions markets," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws085619, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    14. Colino, Jesús P., 2008. "New stochastic processes to model interest rates : LIBOR additive processes," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws085316, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    15. Nicolas Merener, 2012. "Swap rate variance swaps," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 249-261, May.
    16. Wendong Zheng & Chi Hung Yuen & Yue Kuen Kwok, 2016. "Recursive Algorithms For Pricing Discrete Variance Options And Volatility Swaps Under Time-Changed Lévy Processes," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(02), pages 1-29, March.
    17. Peter Carr & Roger Lee & Liuren Wu, 2012. "Variance swaps on time-changed Lévy processes," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 335-355, April.
    18. Peter Carr & Roger Lee, 2010. "Hedging variance options on continuous semimartingales," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 179-207, April.
    19. Wing Hong Chan & Ranjini Jha & Madhu Kalimipalli, 2009. "The Economic Value Of Using Realized Volatility In Forecasting Future Implied Volatility," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 32(3), pages 231-259.
    20. Andrey Itkin & Peter Carr, 2012. "Using Pseudo-Parabolic and Fractional Equations for Option Pricing in Jump Diffusion Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 40(1), pages 63-104, June.
    21. Chourdakis, Kyriakos & Dotsis, George, 2011. "Maximum likelihood estimation of non-affine volatility processes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 533-545, June.
    22. Lan Zhang, 2012. "Implied and realized volatility: empirical model selection," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 259-275, May.
    23. Andrey Itkin & Peter Carr, 2010. "Pricing swaps and options on quadratic variation under stochastic time change models—discrete observations case," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 141-176, July.
    24. Leunglung Chan & Eckhard Platen, 2010. "Exact Pricing and Hedging Formulas of Long Dated Variance Swaps under a $3/2$ Volatility Model," Papers 1007.2968, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2011.
    25. Wendong Zheng & Yue Kuen Kwok, 2014. "Saddlepoint Approximation Methods for Pricing Derivatives on Discrete Realized Variance," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 1-31, March.

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