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Local statistical moments to capture Kramers–Moyal coefficients

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  • Christian Wiedemann

    (Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg
    ForWind, Center for Wind Energy Research
    Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg)

  • Matthias Wächter

    (Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg
    ForWind, Center for Wind Energy Research)

  • Jan A. Freund

    (Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg
    Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg)

  • Joachim Peinke

    (Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg
    ForWind, Center for Wind Energy Research)

Abstract

This study introduces an innovative local statistical moment approach for estimating Kramers–Moyal coefficients, effectively bridging the gap between nonparametric and parametric methodologies. These coefficients play a crucial role in characterizing stochastic processes. Our proposed approach provides a versatile framework for localized coefficient estimation, combining the flexibility of nonparametric methods with the interpretability of global parametric approaches. We showcase the efficacy of our approach through use cases involving both stationary and non-stationary time series analysis. Additionally, we demonstrate its applicability to real-world complex systems, specifically in the energy conversion process analysis of a wind turbine. Graphic abstract

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Wiedemann & Matthias Wächter & Jan A. Freund & Joachim Peinke, 2025. "Local statistical moments to capture Kramers–Moyal coefficients," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 98(2), pages 1-13, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:eurphb:v:98:y:2025:i:2:d:10.1140_epjb_s10051-025-00883-9
    DOI: 10.1140/epjb/s10051-025-00883-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Clemens Willers & Oliver Kamps, 2021. "Non-parametric estimation of a Langevin model driven by correlated noise," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 94(7), pages 1-15, July.
    2. D. Kleinhans & R. Friedrich, 2006. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Drift and Diffusion Functions," Papers physics/0611102, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2007.
    3. Christian Wiedemann & Matthias Wächter & Joachim Peinke & Jan A. Freund, 2024. "Improved estimation of drift coefficients using optimal local bandwidths," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 97(4), pages 1-10, April.
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