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Delphi Method Consensus on Statistical Analysis and Reporting Recommendations for Single-Arm Pregnancy Medication Safety Studies Investigating Pregnancy, Birth and Neonatal Health Outcomes: A Contribution from IMI-ConcePTION

Author

Listed:
  • Jonathan L. Richardson

    (Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust)

  • Alan Moore

    (Novartis Pharma AG)

  • Michael Stellfeld

    (Novo Nordisk A/S)

  • Yvonne Geissbühler

    (Novartis Pharma AG)

  • Ursula Winterfeld

    (University Hospital)

  • Guillaume Favre

    (University Hospital)

  • Christina Chambers

    (University of California, San Diego)

  • Evelin Beck

    (Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin)

  • Marlies Onken

    (Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin)

  • Katarina Dathe

    (Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin)

  • Michael Ceulemans

    (KU Leuven
    Research Foundation Flanders (FWO))

  • Orna Diav-Citrin

    (Ministry of Health)

  • Svetlana Shechtman

    (Ministry of Health)

  • Alison M. Oliver

    (Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust)

  • Kenneth K. Hodson

    (Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust)

  • Dee-Dee Shiller

    (AbbVie Inc.)

  • Amalia Alexe

    (Novartis Pharma AG)

  • Eugène P. Puijenbroek

    (Pharmacovigilance Centre Lareb
    University of Groningen)

  • David J. Lewis

    (Novartis Pharma AG
    University of Hertfordshire)

  • Laura M. Yates

    (Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust
    University of Kwa-Zulu Natal)

Abstract

Background and Objective Standardised procedures for performing and reporting safety monitoring studies investigating medications use in pregnancy may help improve data quality and the speed of data generation. The objective of this study was to provide recommendations on the statistical analysis and reporting of single-arm pregnancy medication safety studies using primary source datasets. Methods A Delphi consensus-setting protocol was used to acquire agreement on recommendations from experts with extensive knowledge and experience in conducting studies investigating medication safety in pregnancy. A series of recommendations, along with their scientific justifications and examples of how to calculate and describe exposure and outcome incidences, were critiqued and improved through a series of online Delphi review rounds. Agreement to inclusion scoring was assessed using a five-point Likert scale. Recommendations with a median Likert-scale score of at least 4, where ≥ 80% of the expert panel scored the recommendation at level 4 or higher, was used as the threshold for inclusion. Results The Delphi consensus methodology produced a set of 30 recommendations spread over five themes. These included descriptions of (1) study sample, (2) medication exposure, (3) maternal outcomes, (4) pregnancy and birth outcomes, and (5) fetal and neonatal outcomes. Of the 30 recommendations, 19 were strongly advised while 11 were included for consideration where their implementation may be beneficial for supplementing data communication. Conclusion Use of the finalised set of recommendations should be encouraged to help standardise published evidence around medication use in pregnancy.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan L. Richardson & Alan Moore & Michael Stellfeld & Yvonne Geissbühler & Ursula Winterfeld & Guillaume Favre & Christina Chambers & Evelin Beck & Marlies Onken & Katarina Dathe & Michael Ceulema, 2025. "Delphi Method Consensus on Statistical Analysis and Reporting Recommendations for Single-Arm Pregnancy Medication Safety Studies Investigating Pregnancy, Birth and Neonatal Health Outcomes: A Contribu," Drug Safety, Springer, vol. 48(6), pages 643-654, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:drugsa:v:48:y:2025:i:6:d:10.1007_s40264-025-01521-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s40264-025-01521-0
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