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Designing a kidney exchange program in Germany: simulations and recommendations

Author

Listed:
  • Itai Ashlagi

    (Stanford University)

  • Ágnes Cseh

    (University of Bayreuth)

  • David Manlove

    (University of Glasgow)

  • Axel Ockenfels

    (University of Cologne
    Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods)

  • William Pettersson

    (University of Glasgow)

Abstract

We examine some of the opportunities and challenges concerned with establishing a centralized national kidney exchange program in Germany. Despite the many advantages of a national program, without deliberate design and policy intervention, a fragmented kidney exchange program may emerge. We study a number of collaboration strategies, and resulting simulations suggest that transplant centers may find it advantageous not to fully participate, resulting in a net reduction in the number of transplants. These results also suggest that allowing more forms of kidney exchange, such as three-way exchanges and non-directed donations, can significantly increase the number of transplants while making participation in a national program more attractive and thus national coordination and cooperation more robust. We propose a multi-level policy approach that is easy to implement and would promote an efficient German kidney exchange program that benefits recipients, donors and hospitals.

Suggested Citation

  • Itai Ashlagi & Ágnes Cseh & David Manlove & Axel Ockenfels & William Pettersson, 2025. "Designing a kidney exchange program in Germany: simulations and recommendations," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 33(4), pages 1529-1555, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:cejnor:v:33:y:2025:i:4:d:10.1007_s10100-024-00933-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10100-024-00933-0
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