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Модель генерации теневой экономики в процессе взаимодействия государства и населения. Model of the shadow economy emergence in the interaction between the state and population

Author

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  • Костин А.В.

    (Новосибирский государственный университет
    Институт экономики и организации промышленного производства СО РАН)

Abstract

Теневая экономика присуща всем странам мира. Она как явление проникает во все сферы экономических отношений. Однако в научной литературе существуют разные мнения о том, является ли данное явление полезным для общества. Моделирование теневой экономики является одним из способов ее изучения. В данной статье предложено расширение авторской игровой модели взаимоотношения государства и населения с учетом влияния теневой экономики. Рассматриваются причины возникновения и роста теневой экономики, роль государства в её формировании и влияние теневой экономики на общественное благосостояние. Изучение данной модели показывает положительное влияние роста населения, участвующего в игре, на размер теневой экономики, и отрицательное влияние размера теневой экономики на общественное благосостояние в случае некооперативной игры населения. Данные результаты позволяют выявить новые механизмы уменьшения размера теневой экономики. Model of the shadow economy emergence in the interaction between the state and population The shadow economy is inherent in all countries of the world. It penetrates into all spheres of economic relations. However, different opinions exist in the scientific literature about the usefulness of this phenomenon for society. In this article, the author proposed an extension of the game model relations between the state and the population, taking into account the influence of the shadow economy. The author investigates reasons for derivation and growth of the shadow economy, government influence on its formation and the influence of the shadow economy on social welfare. The study of this model shows the positive impact of population growth on the size of the shadow economy and the negative effect of the size of the shadow economy on social welfare in the case of non-cooperative strategy population. These results allow us to identify new mechanisms of size reduction of the shadow economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Костин А.В., 2014. "Модель генерации теневой экономики в процессе взаимодействия государства и населения. Model of the shadow economy emergence in the interaction between the state and population ," Мир экономики и управления // Вестник НГУ. Cерия: Cоциально-экономические науки, Socionet;Новосибирский государственный университет, vol. 14(1), pages 15-26.
  • Handle: RePEc:scn:guhrje:2014_1_02
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    Keywords

    теневая экономика; государственные услуги; налоговое бремя; игровая модель; равновесие Нэша; shadow economy; public services; tax burden; game model; Nash equilibrium.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • O17 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements

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