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Моделирование зависимости роста ВВП от изменения структуры занятости в экономике РФ. The modeling of the relationship between GDP growth and structural change of employment in the economy of Russia

Author

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  • Филимоненко И. В.

Abstract

В статье на основе эконометрического моделирования определяется зависимость роста ВВП от изменения ряда определяющих факторов, среди которых – численность занятых в экономике РФ в разрезе уровней образования. Полученная зависимость позволяет установить темп роста ВВП от изменения каждого фактора модели и оценить уровень влияния структурных изменений в занятости на темпы роста ВВП. The article shows the dependence of the GDP growth from the system of determining factors, happening оn the basis of the econometric model. These factors include the volume of employment in the Russian economy in the context of educational status. The obtained dependence allows to construct the forecast of the GDP growth and of each model factors until 2015 and also estimates the level of the influence of structural changes in employment on the GDP value.

Suggested Citation

  • Филимоненко И. В., 2011. "Моделирование зависимости роста ВВП от изменения структуры занятости в экономике РФ. The modeling of the relationship between GDP growth and structural change of employment in the economy of Russia," Мир экономики и управления // Вестник НГУ. Cерия: Cоциально-экономические науки, Socionet;Новосибирский государственный университет, vol. 11(1), pages 16-25.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:guhrje:2011_1_02
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