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Эконометрический Подход К Долгосрочному Прогнозированию Мировых Цен На Железную Руду

Author

Listed:
  • Маланичев Александр Григорьевич

    (ОАО «Северсталь»)

  • Пустов Александр Юрьевич

    (ОАО «Северсталь»)

Abstract

В работе представлена регрессионная модель для прогнозирования мировых цен на железную руду. Модель основана на допущении о равенстве цены издержкам маржинального производителя, который находится в Китае. Представлен прогноз мирового спроса, предложения и цен на руду до 2015 г.This paper describes an econometric model for long-term iron ore price forecasting. The model is based on an assumption that the market price equals the marginal fi rms costs. As an example of the model output, 2011-15 iron ore prices forecast is presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Маланичев Александр Григорьевич & Пустов Александр Юрьевич, 2011. "Эконометрический Подход К Долгосрочному Прогнозированию Мировых Цен На Железную Руду," Российский внешнеэкономический вестник, CyberLeninka;Государственное образовательное учреждение Высшего профессионального образования Всероссийская академия внешней торговли Минэкономразвития России, vol. 2011(8), pages 55-64.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:018481:14593062
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