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Определение Каналов Распространения Кризисных Ситуаций В Рф

Author

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  • Фёдорова Елена Анатольевна

    (Финансовый университет при Правительстве РФ)

  • Афанасьев Дмитрий Олегович

    (Финансовый университет при Правительстве РФ)

Abstract

В статье выявляются значимые каналы распространения кризисных ситуаций в экономике РФ (на основе применения модели с марковскими переключениями и теста отношения правдоподобия). Разработана система комплексных кризисных индикаторов, которые позволяют прогнозировать вероятность наступления кризиса в РФ на месяц, квартал и полугодие вперед.

Suggested Citation

  • Фёдорова Елена Анатольевна & Афанасьев Дмитрий Олегович, 2014. "Определение Каналов Распространения Кризисных Ситуаций В Рф," Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования Российской академии наук, issue 5 (146), pages 100-111.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:009162:15770676
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